11pm Saturday Update on Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine

Here is the latest update and forecast track on post tropical cyclone Hermine.

Hermine Moving East-Northeastward But Expected To Turn Northward

On Sunday… Dangerous Storm Surge Expected Along The Coast From

Virginia To New Jersey.


QUICK Summary Of 1100 Pm EDT Information


Location… 36.5n 72.1w

About 235 Miles E Of Norfolk Virginia

About 205 Miles SE Of Ocean City Maryland

Maximum Sustained Winds… 70 Mph

Present Movement… ENE Or 75 Degrees At 13 Mph

Minimum Central Pressure… 998 Mb… 29.47 Inches


A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For…

* Ocracoke Inlet To West Of Watch Hill

* Chesapeake Bay From Drum Point Southward

* Delaware Bay


A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For…

* Watch Hill To Sagamore Beach

* Block Island

* Martha’s Vineyard

* Nantucket


At 1100 Pm Edt, The Center Of Post-Tropical Cyclone

Hermine Was Located Near Latitude 36.5 North, Longitude 72.1 West.

The Post-Tropical Cyclone Is Moving Toward The East-Northeast Near

13 Mph.  A Turn Toward The Northeast And The North With A

Decrease In Forward Speed Are Expected On Sunday, Followed By A Slow

Northward To Northwestward Motion Through Monday.  On The Forecast

Track, The Center Of Hermine Will Meander Slowly Offshore Of The

Mid-Atlantic Coast For The Next Couple Of Days.


Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 70 Mph With Higher

Gusts.  Little Change In Strength Is Expected Tonight.  After That,

The Cyclone Is Expected To Intensify To Hurricane Force Sunday And

Sunday Night.


Hermine Has A Large Wind Field.  Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend

Outward Up To 205 Miles From The Center.


The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 998 Mb (29.47 Inches).


Tropical Storm Conditions Will Continue To Spread Northward

Within The Warning Area Along The Atlantic Coast Through Monday,

And There May Be Multiple Occurrences Of Tropical Storm Conditions

Along Portions Of The Mid-Atlantic Coast In The Warning Area During

The Next Couple Of Days. Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible In

The Watch Area By Monday.


The Combination Of A Storm Surge And The Tide Will

Cause Normally Dry Areas Near The Coast To Be Flooded By Rising

Waters Moving Inland From The Shoreline.  Along The Immediate

Coastline, The Surge Will Be Accompanied By Large And Dangerous

Waves.  There Is A Danger Of Life-Threatening Inundation Through

Tonight In The Hampton Roads Area, And In The Next 36 Hours From

Chincoteague, Virginia, To Sandy Hook, New Jersey.  Persons Within

These Areas Should Take All Necessary Actions To Protect Life And

Property From Rising Water.  Promptly Follow All Instructions,

Including Evacuation Orders, From Local Officials.  There Is Also

The Possibility Of Life-Threatening Inundation During The Next 48

Hours At Many Coastal Locations Between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, And

Bridgeport, Connecticut.


The Water Could Reach The Following Heights Above Ground If The

Peak Surge Occurs At The Time Of High Tide…


North Carolina Sounds… 1 To 3 Feet

Hampton Roads Area… 2 To 4 Feet

Chincoteague, Va To Sandy Hook, Nj… 3 To 5 Feet

Sandy Hook, Nj To Bridgeport, Ct… 2 To 4 Feet


Heavy Rainfall Associated With Hermine Will Mainly Remain

Offshore Through Monday/Labor Day. However, Isolated Maximum

Rainfall Amounts Of 1 To 3 Inches Are Still Possible Along The

Immediate Coastline Of The Mid-Atlantic And Northeast And Up Into

Southeast New England.


Large Waves Generated By Hermine Will Affect The U.S. East

Coast From The Mid-Atlantic States And Expand Northward Along The

Coast Of Southern New England Through Monday.  These Waves Are

Likely To Cause Life-Threatening Surf And Rip Current Conditions,

And Significant Beach Erosion. 


Next Intermediate Advisory At 200 Am EDT.

Next Complete Advisory At 500 Am EDT.

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