11pm Sunday Update on Tropical Storm Colin

11pm Sunday Update on Tropical Storm Colin.

Here is the latest on Colin.

New tropical storm warnings have been issued along the Atlantic coast… to include the Coastal Empire and Low Country.

At 11:00 pm edt… tropical storm Colin was centered around 455 miles SSW of Apalachicola, Florida.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING is in effect for the west coast of Florida from Indian Pass to Englewood… and along the east coast of Florida from Sebastian Inlet north to the Altamaha Sound. The tropical storm warning includes Glynn and Camden county in southeast Georgia. In addition… a tropical storm watch is now in effect from north of the Altamaha Sound to the South Santee River. This includes McIntosh… Liberty… Bryan and Chatham counties in southeast Georgia… and in southeast South Carolina Jasper… Beaufort and coastal Colleton counties.

Maximum sustained winds are around 40 mph. Some strengthening is forecast before Colin reaches the coast of Florida.

The storm is moving north around 9 mph. A north-northeastward to northeastward motion and a faster forward speed is expected tonight through Monday. On this track… the center of Colin is forecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend area Monday afternoon or evening.

The minimum central pressure has fallen to 1003 mb.

Here is the latest local statement from Storm Team 3 on the storm and your local forecast….

TROPICAL STORM COLIN in the southern Gulf of Mexico is expected to impact the west coast of Florida as a tropical storm in the next 18-24 hours. The track then takes it across portions of north Florida and southeast Georgia Monday night with max sustained winds of 50 mph and offshore the South Carolina coast by Tuesday. Impacts are highly dependent on the track and intensity of Colin. Most likely impacts currently appear to be heavy rainfall and the associated threat for flooding. Also coastal flooding… beach erosion… elevated surf and an enhanced risk of rip currents is possible.

Elevated wind impacts are also possible… with most coastal areas currently having a 30% chance of seeing tropical storm force winds. If the system remains well offshore… impacts will primarily be confined to the beaches and marine areas… where large surf and the associated enhanced rip current risk and hazardous seas across the coastal waters will persist through mid-week.


REST OF TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms as a cold front approaches the area. Lows in the low to mid 70s. Winds south becoming southwest at 5-10 mph. The chance of rain is 40%.

MONDAY: The combination of the front just to our northwest and Colin in the eastern Gulf of Mexico will bring cloudy skies with occasional showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds southwest becoming south at 5-10 mph. The chance of rain is 90%.

MONDAY NIGHT: A highly complicated forecast… with tropical storm conditions possible as Colin moves across southern Georgia. Look for cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms. The rain could be heavy at times. Lows from 70 to 75. The chance of rain is 100%.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning… diminishing in the afternoon. Late day clearing is possible. Highs in the upper 80s to around 90. The chance of rain is 40%.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY:  Dry weather returns with mostly sunny skies. Highs in the upper 80s.

FRIDAY and SATURDAY: Sunshine mixed with a few clouds. A very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs in the upper 80s Friday… and around or a little above 90 Saturday. Cooler on the coast. The chance of rain is 10%.

SUNDAY: Sunshine mixed with a few clouds… and hot. A stray shower or thunderstorm possible. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland… upper 80s on the islands. The chance of rain is 10%.

Do you have a weather question? Drop me a line at fhaywood@wsav.com. Also… follow me on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/WSAV-Meteorologist-Lee-Haywood-206886219344080/?fref=ts and Twitter at @LeeHaywood_WSAV.

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